Posts Tagged ‘longevity’

Might You Live to 100?

Monday, January 5th, 2009

Live to 100. Sounds great. But what are the downsides of longevity? “How can there be downsides?” you may ask. After all, you’d have more time to golf, go fishing, and spend with the grand-kids. Well, the risk may be that if you hadn’t planned to live that long you could end up running out of money.  Very few people have sufficient retirement savings to live to 100.  Yet, if you are already age 70, life expectancy of living to age 100 is 3% (one of every 33 people).  If you make it to age 80, then your life expectancy to 100 jumps to 4% (one out of 25 people).

So how long of a retirement should you plan for?  How can you prepare for significant longevity?

According to the IRS longevity tables, a 70-year-old person is expected to live for 17 more years to age 87. However, this is an average. Half of the 70-year-olds will live longer, and half will not. Therefore, a 70-year old individual who is basing his or her retirement plan and spending habits on living to 87 is rolling the dice. Furthermore, when you consider that there are more than 70,000 U.S. centenarians  who represent the fastest-growing segment of our population, there is reason to take notice.

However, planning too conservatively could be detrimental as well. After all, you don’t want to cut your standard of living down to the point that you’ll be miserable. And of course, you always have the option to make adjustments in your spending as time goes on.

All of this comes down to two simple facts; you can control how long your money will last, but you only have a limited ability to predict how long you will live. So what can you do to reduce the risk of running out of money too soon?

A fixed immediate annuity offers an income that will continue for a lifetime, no matter how long you live, and it will help you plan for the possibility of living to 87, 107, or beyond.  The other option is a reverse mortgage–your ace in the whole should you ever need it.

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Will you Outlive Your Money?

Friday, September 26th, 2008

Could underestimating your longevity mean you’ll run out of retirement money?

At age 65, the average life expectancy is 81.8 years for a man and 84.8 years for a woman. At age 75, the average life expectancy is 85.5 years for a man and 87.6 years for a woman. Note that as you grow older, you’re expcted to live longer!  With recent advances in medical science, it’s no longer a stretch to think that you could live to be 100. In fact, the US Census Bureau projects that by 2050 there will be nearly one million centenarians.

No one wants to die sooner, so that’s great news. The problem: If your retirement plan doesn’t recognize the possibility of a long retirement, then you could potentially outlive your money. But read on for a solution.

Consider the following hypothetical example. Assume you’re 64 years old and earn $60,000 per year. You plan to retire next year at age 65. You’ve accumulated $1,000,000 in retirement savings, which you think will return a hypothetical six percent per year throughout your retirement. And, you have a $60,000 annual retirement need (excluding Social Security). If you have a 15-year retirement from ages 65 to 80, you’ll have no shortfall in retirement funds; in fact, you’ll end up with almost $696,000 to pass on to your heirs. On the other hand, if you have a 30-year retirement from ages 65 to 95, you’ll run out of money at age 83 as the table below illustrates. Of course, this example  is hypothetical and for illustrative purposes only. It is not meant to represent the performance of any particular product.

Age

Savings

Retirement Savings Needed

64

$1,000,000.00

$0.00

64

$1,059,999.94

$0.00

66

$1,058,028.28

$61,860.00

67

$1,053,905.60

$63,777.66

68

$1,047,439.82

$65,754.77

69

$1,038,425.39

$67,793.17

70

$1,026,642.42

$69,894.76

71

$1,011,855.72

$72,061.50

72

$993,813.88

$74,295.41

73

$972,248.18

$76,598.57

74

$946,871.51

$78,973.12

75

$917,377.18

$81,421.29

76

$883,437.69

$83,945.35

77

$844,703.39

$86,547.66

78

$800,801.08

$89,230.64

79

$751,332.50

$91,996.79

80

$695,872.80

$94,848.69

81

$633,968.79

$97,789.00

82

$565,137.20

$100,820.46

83

$488,862.75

$103,945.90

84

$404,596.18

$107,168.22

85

$311,752.06

$110,490.44

86

$209,706.59

$113,915.65

87

$97,795.12

$117,447.03

88

$0.00

$0.00

Source: Burling Bank. Assumes $1,000,000 in retirement savings has already been accumulated; another $60,000 is added. The money grows at a hypothetical 6 percent pear year; $60,000 (in today’s dollars) in withdrawn each year. This example above is hypothetical and for illustrative purposes only. It is not meant to represent performance of any particular product.

Because the risk of outliving your funds is real, annuitization may be an option.  Annuitization is the process of converting your assets into an income stream.  For example, maybe you plan to leave your heairs$250,000.  You could turn that $250,000 into an income stream you cannot outlive with an immediate annuity.  For example, a femaelage 70 could invest $250,000 into an immediate annuity and get $1765 a month for life – an income she cannot outlive.  To see the amount you can receive, use the immediate annuity calculator.

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